منابع مشابه
Pce Inflation and Core Inflation
This paper investigates the forecasting accuracy of the trimmed mean inflation rate of the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) deflator. Earlier works have examined the forecasting ability of limited-influence estimators (trimmed means and the weighted median) of the Consumer Price Index but none have compared the weighted median and trimmed mean of the PCE. Also addressed is the systematic ...
متن کاملCore Inflation and Trend Inflation June 2015
An important input to monetary policymaking is estimating the current level of inflation. This paper examines empirically whether the measurement of trend inflation can be improved by using disaggregated data on sectoral inflation to construct indexes akin to core inflation but with a time-varying distributed lags of weights, where the sectoral weight depends on the timevarying volatility and p...
متن کاملCore inflation and monetary policy
What are the implications of targeting different measures of inflation? We extend a basic theoretical framework of optimal monetary policy under inflation targeting to include several components of CPI inflation, and analyze the implications of using different measures of inflation as target variable— core inflation, CPI excluding interest rates, and headline CPI inflation. Our main results are...
متن کاملLeading Indicators of Inflation for Brazil
The goal of this project is to construct leading indicators that anticipate inflation cycle turning points on a real time monitoring basis. As a first step, turning points of the IPCA inflation are determined using a periodic stochastic Markov switching model. These turning points are the event timing that the leading indicators should anticipate. A dynamic factor model is then used to extract ...
متن کاملCore Inflation: a Measure of Inflation for Policy Purposes
to the Bank of Canada. Thanks to Jean-Pierre Aubry, Chantal Dupasquier, Dave Longworth, Thérèse Laflèche, Paul Gilbert, Richard Dion, Seamus Hogan, Tiff Macklem and Dinah Maclean for their helpful discussions and comments and to Frédéric Beauregard-Tellier for excellent research assistance. Thanks to Scott Roger for the methodology used to calculate measures of weighted skewness and weighted ku...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Economic Modelling
سال: 2003
ISSN: 0264-9993
DOI: 10.1016/s0264-9993(02)00008-1